Minnesota’s November Forecast Predicts Warmth Before Winter Hits
November in Minnesota can bring some dicey weather. One week we’re crunching through leaves on a crisp fall day, the next we’re wondering if it’s time to dig out the snowblower before Thanksgiving.
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It’s the time of year when we start checking the extended forecast a little more often to find out when the first real snow is coming and how long we have until the temperature drops to levels of cold that should be illegal.
The latest 30-day outlook from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center has been released, and it might be good news for those who hope winter stays away as long as possible. Check out the outlook maps below to see what kind of November is in store for the North Star State this year.
What “Equal Chances” and “Leaning Above” Mean
NOAA says their maps divide the next month into three possible categories: above, below, or near normal, based on 30 years of historical data (1981–2010). When a region is labeled “Above”, forecasters believe that outcome has a greater than 33% chance of occurring. “Equal Chances” means there’s no strong signal favoring any one outcome, so the weather can go either way.
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Minnesota November Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA’s monthly temperature outlook, Minnesota is expected to experience above-average temperatures through November.
That means the odds favor a milder-than-normal month overall, with temperatures more likely to run above the average than below it, keeping fall-like conditions hanging around longer than usual.
Minnesota Precipitation Outlook:
When it comes to precipitation, NOAA puts all of Minnesota in the “equal chances” range, meaning there’s no clear tilt toward wetter-or-drier-than-normal conditions. In other words, the odds of above, below, or near-normal precipitation are about the same.
If the forecast holds, expect more mild jacket days than heavy parka ones early in the month and maybe a slower transition to our true Minnesota winter everyone loves so much 😉. Although one strong cold front could still flip the script quickly, so keep those snow shovels handy.
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Gallery Credit: Minnesota Now